TRENDS & TAIL RISKS™

A monthly publication dedicated to the principle that deeper and broader knowledge drives superior investment results

Memory Lane: Chinese Currency Devaluation

POSTED ON August 12th - POSTED IN Thinking About the Future

By Lewis Johnson - China has devalued its currency by almost 4% in two days. What does it mean for China and global asset markets? This week’s “Trends and Tail Risks” takes a walk down memory lane back to the Asian[…]

Whether to Invest with the Weather

POSTED ON August 5th - POSTED IN Art of Valuation, Replacement Cost, Bottom Up Analysis

By Lewis Johnson - As an investor the most important decision I make every day is what to ignore. After all, it’s a big wide world with literally tens of thousands of financial securities in it: stocks, bonds and other[…]

Understanding Life Forwards

POSTED ON July 29th - POSTED IN Thinking About the Future

By Lewis Johnson - We live in a complex financial world. How to make sense of it? I have adopted the practice of studying indicators to help me quantify important financial relationships and to ask better questions.[…]

Sidney Homer: Father of Modern Bond Research

POSTED ON July 22nd - POSTED IN Bonds, Credit

By Lewis Johnson - Every day it seems I am reminded that there are so many things that investors must understand if they hope to navigate the markets safely and profitably. One thing is clear: an investor can never[…]

Greece: War of Creditors vs. Debtors

POSTED ON July 15th - POSTED IN Risk

By Lewis Johnson - It seems as if I have been writing about Greece forever! But events there do continue to demand attention. Make no mistake: Greece is on the front lines of global over-indebtedness which is why it’s[…]

Lewis Johnson
Chief Investment Officer

Author of Trends & Tail Risks

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