TRENDS & TAIL RISKS™

A bi-weekly publication dedicated to the principle that deeper and broader knowledge drives superior investment results

Understanding Life Forwards

POSTED ON July 29th - POSTED IN Thinking About the Future

By Lewis Johnson - We live in a complex financial world.  How to make sense of it?  I have adopted the practice of studying indicators to help me quantify important financial relationships and to ask better questions. […]

Sidney Homer: Father of Modern Bond Research

POSTED ON July 22nd - POSTED IN Bonds, Credit

By Lewis Johnson - Every day it seems I am reminded that there are so many things that investors must understand if they hope to navigate the markets safely and profitably.  One thing is clear: an investor can never[…]

Greece: War of Creditors vs. Debtors

POSTED ON July 15th - POSTED IN Risk

By Lewis Johnson - It seems as if I have been writing about Greece forever!  But events there do continue to demand attention.  Make no mistake: Greece is on the front lines of global over-indebtedness which is why[…]

Contagion: Fog of War?

POSTED ON July 8th - POSTED IN Contagion, Risk

By Lewis Johnson - Writing these weekly research pieces is often a revealing journey for me.  I start by surveying the world for the most noteworthy events about which I am concerned.  As I winnow and sift my thinking,[…]

Contagion Revisited

POSTED ON July 1st - POSTED IN Risk

By Lewis Johnson - Big changes are afoot in the markets.  It’s time to pay attention!  While Greece is very much all over the headlines these days – current events impact far more than Greece.  We care about Greece[…]

Lewis Johnson
Co-Chief Investment Officer

Author of Trends & Tail Risks

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