TRENDS & TAIL RISKS™

A monthly publication dedicated to the principle that deeper and broader knowledge drives superior investment results

Che Guevara, Central Banker

POSTED ON May 13th - POSTED IN Commodities, Commodity, Central Banking

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION Clear economic incentives drive superior economic outcomes. To me, this means less government intervention and meddling. Meddling in the monetary system has been rebranded as the[…]

The Simple Power of a Causal Framework

POSTED ON April 8th - POSTED IN Gold, Cycles, Commodities, Commodity, supply & demand, Steel

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION Successful investing doesn’t have to be complex. Sometimes the simplest insights can be the most powerful – if you have the conviction to follow them. We derive our conviction from[…]

Field of Dreams

POSTED ON February 4th - POSTED IN Gold, Price of Gold, Commodities, Commodity, corn

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION Our investment framework has gold as the leading indicator and driver of higher commodities. In today’s “Trends and Tail Risks” we outline why we believe that this is bullish for all[…]

The Next Big Thing?

POSTED ON November 12th - POSTED IN Commodities, Commodity, Thinking About the Future

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION Whoever said “its who you know that counts” was definitely speaking about the investment business. In a confusing world, drowning in data, how to make sense of it all and plot an[…]

Good Intentions

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION Ask anyone who has invested serious time analyzing the commodity markets and you will quickly come to understand the power of supply, demand, and prices to work in harmony to create[…]

Lewis Johnson
Chief Investment Officer

Author of Trends & Tail Risks

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