TRENDS & TAIL RISKS™

A bi-weekly publication dedicated to the principle that deeper and broader knowledge drives superior investment results

Swing and a Miss

POSTED ON July 11th - POSTED IN Bonds, Bond Market, Gold, Relative Value of Gold (and Credit)

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION One of the biggest investment surprises in recent memory has taken place in two important markets over the past year or so: rallies in the price of gold and that of the U.S.[…]

The Gold Analyst, Loneliest Guy in Town

POSTED ON January 10th - POSTED IN Gold, Relative Value of Gold (and Credit)

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION What we believe to be the biggest change in decades is underway in monetary policy, which is creating new winners and losers in the markets. Central banks are selling hundreds of[…]

Swimming Naked

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion A month ago, we explained George Soros’ “reflexivity” to help explain why we thought more weakness lay ahead for many emerging markets.  Since then Argentina’s currency has collapsed[…]

Ask Better Questions to Make More Money

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion Asking better questions is the fastest way to make more money in the markets. In today’s “Trends and Tail Risks,” I will take a step back and explain the backstory of how asking[…]

World Beating Performance in Silver

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion Notable outperformance by silver equities suggests we are just at the beginning of a new and extended precious metals upcycle.  Overindebtedness is driving this bull market..

Lewis Johnson
Co-Chief Investment Officer

Author of Trends & Tail Risks

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