TRENDS & TAIL RISKS™

A monthly publication dedicated to the principle that deeper and broader knowledge drives superior investment results

Changes in the Rules of the Game

POSTED ON April 16th - POSTED IN Bonds, Gold, Portfolio Construction for a Challenging World

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION In complex times, it’s important to focus.  From where I sit, it seems that there are two big things going on in global markets right now.  The first is a cyclical downturn of[…]

Real Money

POSTED ON October 31st - POSTED IN Gold, Relative Value of Gold (and Credit)

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION In the last four years, there has been an $9.1 trillion increase in negative yielding debt.  The total now is $12.8 trillion.  What broader impacts has this driven in our markets –[…]

Everybody Has a Plan 'Til They Get Punched in the Face

POSTED ON August 22nd - POSTED IN Bonds, Gold, Risk

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION Mike Tyson says that everybody has a plan until they get punched in the face. That’s when life gets real and many plans fail. Volatile markets just punched many investors in the[…]

Swing and a Miss

POSTED ON July 11th - POSTED IN Bonds, Gold, Relative Value of Gold (and Credit)

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION One of the biggest investment surprises in recent memory has taken place in two important markets over the past year or so: rallies in the price of gold and that of the U.S.[…]

The Gold Analyst, Loneliest Guy in Town

POSTED ON January 10th - POSTED IN Gold, Relative Value of Gold (and Credit)

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION What we believe to be the biggest change in decades is underway in monetary policy, which is creating new winners and losers in the markets. Central banks are selling hundreds of[…]

Lewis Johnson
Co-Chief Investment Officer

Author of Trends & Tail Risks

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