TRENDS & TAIL RISKS™

A monthly publication dedicated to the principle that deeper and broader knowledge drives superior investment results

Contagion?

POSTED ON May 13th - POSTED IN Gold, Risk, Relative Value of Gold (and Credit)

By Lewis Johnson - Greece and its crumbling finances have been in the press constantly of late. The day of decision for Greece appears to be approaching quickly with the latest news that the country is raiding its IMF[…]

Unexpected Change

By Lewis Johnson - The game of poker shares many similarities with investing. They are both odds driven endeavors where it pays to be logical. The margin of victory is often slim! If you play the game of poker long[…]

Gold: Lessons from the Depression

POSTED ON August 20th - POSTED IN Gold, Indicators, Relative Value of Gold (and Credit)

By Lewis Johnson - Last week’s Trends and Tail Risks noted that there is more money to be made being long the solution than there is in shorting the problem. We are convinced that over indebtedness is the world’s[…]

Gold: Price vs. Relative Value

By Lewis Johnson - After a long hiatus, gold’s quiet outperformance (up 9.6% YTD) is slowly working its way back into the financial pages. However, gold took its time getting back there. After all, the price of gold[…]

The Most Important Question in Investing Right Now

POSTED ON July 2nd - POSTED IN Gold, Price of Gold

By Lewis Johnson - Last week we explored commodity prices to illustrate simply how supply and demand interact with prices to drive real responses in the economy. Prices make things happen! There is a deeper truth,[…]

Lewis Johnson
Chief Investment Officer

Author of Trends & Tail Risks

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