TRENDS & TAIL RISKS™

A bi-weekly publication dedicated to the principle that deeper and broader knowledge drives superior investment results

Swimming Naked

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion A month ago, we explained George Soros’ “reflexivity” to help explain why we thought more weakness lay ahead for many emerging markets.  Since then Argentina’s currency has collapsed[…]

Ask Better Questions to Make More Money

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion Asking better questions is the fastest way to make more money in the markets. In today’s “Trends and Tail Risks,” I will take a step back and explain the backstory of how asking[…]

Franco Nevada: The Art of Stock Selection in the Gold Sector

POSTED ON March 9th - POSTED IN Gold, Price of Gold, Relative Value of Gold (and Credit)

By Lewis Johnson - Gold is up 19% year to date against the backdrop of a volatile stock market.  In fact, gold just clocked its strongest February since 1975.  Is this the move we have been waiting for in gold?  We[…]

Unexpected Change

By Lewis Johnson - The game of poker shares many similarities with investing.  They are both odds driven endeavors where it pays to be logical.  The margin of victory is often slim!  If you play the game of poker long[…]

Gold: Price vs. Relative Value

By Lewis Johnson - After a long hiatus, gold’s quiet outperformance (up 9.6% YTD) is slowly working its way back into the financial pages. However, gold took its time getting back there. After all, the price of gold[…]

Lewis Johnson
Co-Chief Investment Officer

Author of Trends & Tail Risks

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