A monthly publication dedicated to the principle that deeper and broader knowledge drives superior investment results

From the Analyst's Toolkit: Replacement Cost Valuation

POSTED ON June 11th - POSTED IN Art of Valuation, Replacement Cost

By Lewis Johnson - Investing is an exercise in decision making under uncertainty. We use a variety of tools to minimize uncertainty and increase the odds that our investments are successful. One of the most important[…]

Ghosts of Invergordon?

POSTED ON June 4th - POSTED IN Thinking About the Future

By Lewis Johnson - Mark Twain once said, "History does not repeat itself but it does rhyme." This week we examine a precedent from 1931 for clues to the political debate underway now in Europe. We consider whether[…]

Making Volatility our Friend: Trading the Kitchin Cycle

POSTED ON May 28th - POSTED IN Cycles, Kitchin Cycle

By Lewis Johnson - Cycles and their changing phases are everywhere around us. The twenty-four hour daily cycle comprises the opposites of day and night. The seasons transition from the cool of winter to the opposite[…]

Big Problems Start Small

POSTED ON May 21st - POSTED IN Bonds, Greece

By Lewis Johnson - Last week the Greek bond market took a beating after almost two full years of constant improvement. This week’s Trends and Tail Risks explains why you should care and what we are watching for next.[…]

Bond Market Clues

POSTED ON May 14th - POSTED IN Bonds

By Lewis Johnson - Investing wisely is challenging. But better information helps. Knowing is better than guessing!

Lewis Johnson
Chief Investment Officer

Author of Trends & Tail Risks

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