TRENDS & TAIL RISKS™

A monthly publication dedicated to the principle that deeper and broader knowledge drives superior investment results

Searching for Junonias: The Art of Rejection

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion: We agree with Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger that the best ideas are rare. Our discipline is to seek out the best ideas and hold them, ideally, forever. Our search for rare[…]

Homage to Catalonia

POSTED ON October 5th - POSTED IN Portfolio Construction for a Challenging World, Indicators

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion Catalonia, an autonomous community within Spain, has voted for independence. Spain’s government is cracking down. How will it end and what does it mean for global markets? Our[…]

Hurricane Irma and the Limits of Prediction

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion Hurricane Irma gave all of us in southwest Florida a real world example of the limits of prediction. In life as in the financial markets, we believe it’s better to beat the rush and[…]

Investing is a Team Sport

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion One needs to look no further than the track record of the greatest investor of our time, Warren Buffet, to understand that even the most successful long-term investment strategy will[…]

The Discipline of Discomfort

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion The discipline of discomfort demands that investors who seek to outperform must make hard choices, choices that don’t come naturally. This often means cultivating controversy in your[…]

Lewis Johnson
Chief Investment Officer

Author of Trends & Tail Risks

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