TRENDS & TAIL RISKS™

A bi-weekly publication dedicated to the principle that deeper and broader knowledge drives superior investment results

Swing and a Miss

POSTED ON July 11th - POSTED IN Bonds, Bond Market, Gold, Relative Value of Gold (and Credit)

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION One of the biggest investment surprises in recent memory has taken place in two important markets over the past year or so: rallies in the price of gold and that of the U.S.[…]

The Humiliation Machine: Take the Risks That You Get Paid to Take

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion The market is a humiliation machine.  When you are being the most rational, the market makes you look the most stupid.  This is not a bug, it’s a feature.  Why?  Because the rational[…]

Volatility Makes a Comeback

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion The most pressing problem that we attempt to solve for our clients is how to grow their hard-won savings thoughtfully.  Money only grows when it takes risk – but what risks to take? […]

Feed the Ducks While They Are Quacking: Time to Reduce Lower Quality Bond Positions

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion Clients will begin to see a thoughtful winnowing of our selected holdings in corporate bonds rated less than investment grade.  The relentless search for yield has resulted in a[…]

How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bond

POSTED ON November 30th - POSTED IN Bonds, Credit

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion Evidence continues to accumulate globally that the secular bull market in bonds is alive and well.  We discuss the most recent data that includes Europe’s first negative yielding[…]

Lewis Johnson
Co-Chief Investment Officer

Author of Trends & Tail Risks

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