TRENDS & TAIL RISKS™

A monthly publication dedicated to the principle that deeper and broader knowledge drives superior investment results

World Beating Performance in Silver

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion Notable outperformance by silver equities suggests we are just at the beginning of a new and extended precious metals upcycle. Overindebtedness is driving this bull market..

Success Begins with Defense: Is This the Bottom of the Agriculture Cycle?

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion Successful investing begins with the purchase of assets with limited downside, exceptional upside, and multiple ways to win. The 50% crash in agricultural commodity prices helps[…]

The Highest Quality Growth Companies are AAA Bonds that Grow

POSTED ON August 24th - POSTED IN Bonds

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion A tiny minority of the world’s highest-quality growth companies have achieved the nearly impossible: sustainably high returns on capital and bond-like stability of growing dividends[…]

Old Friends: Kirby Corporation (KEX)

POSTED ON August 10th - POSTED IN Replacement Cost

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion We believe that the share price of Kirby Corporation (KEX) is undervalued and offers patient investors attractive returns and limited risk.

The Best Offense is a Good Defense

POSTED ON July 27th - POSTED IN Portfolio Construction for a Challenging World

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion High industry concentration, strong capital discipline, and the likelihood of unanticipated growth from rising global conflict should continue to drive the long-term outperformance[…]

Lewis Johnson
Chief Investment Officer

Author of Trends & Tail Risks

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