TRENDS & TAIL RISKS™

A monthly publication dedicated to the principle that deeper and broader knowledge drives superior investment results

Feed the Ducks While They Are Quacking: Time to Reduce Lower Quality Bond Positions

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion Clients will begin to see a thoughtful winnowing of our selected holdings in corporate bonds rated less than investment grade. The relentless search for yield has resulted in a[…]

The Most Powerful Research Tool is a Great Network

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion Wouldn’t it be nice to have the confidence that you could pick up the phone and get a straight answer from a trusted expert? We have been working for our entire career to make that a[…]

Clients Deserve More Than "Conventional Failure"

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion I can’t tell you how many times in the investment business I have heard someone parrot to me the first quote above, Keynes’ famous line about how it’s better to “fail conventionally”[…]

Potash: A Study in Patience

POSTED ON December 14th - POSTED IN Art of Valuation, Replacement Cost

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion We have watched and waited for a decade for Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (POT) to become cheap enough to purchase again. A few days ago, we finally pulled the trigger and decided to[…]

How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bond

POSTED ON November 30th - POSTED IN Bonds, Credit

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion Evidence continues to accumulate globally that the secular bull market in bonds is alive and well. We discuss the most recent data that includes Europe’s first negative yielding[…]

Lewis Johnson
Chief Investment Officer

Author of Trends & Tail Risks

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