TRENDS & TAIL RISKS™

A monthly publication dedicated to the principle that deeper and broader knowledge drives superior investment results

Research Trip to Ireland Suggests Europe’s Financial Problems Are Not Over

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion Our recent research trip to Ireland’s “Kilkenomics” Conference strengthens our belief that the recent lull in Europe’s ongoing sovereign debt crisis will prove temporary. Countries[…]

Don't be a Turkey!

POSTED ON November 2nd - POSTED IN Portfolio Construction for a Challenging World

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion Portfolios fail when discipline fails. I believe the best discipline is to create a detailed financial plan and use its goals and constraints as the guidelines to construct a[…]

Searching for Junonias: The Art of Rejection

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion: We agree with Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger that the best ideas are rare. Our discipline is to seek out the best ideas and hold them, ideally, forever. Our search for rare[…]

Homage to Catalonia

POSTED ON October 5th - POSTED IN Portfolio Construction for a Challenging World, Indicators

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion Catalonia, an autonomous community within Spain, has voted for independence. Spain’s government is cracking down. How will it end and what does it mean for global markets? Our[…]

Hurricane Irma and the Limits of Prediction

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion Hurricane Irma gave all of us in southwest Florida a real world example of the limits of prediction. In life as in the financial markets, we believe it’s better to beat the rush and[…]

Lewis Johnson
Chief Investment Officer

Author of Trends & Tail Risks

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