TRENDS & TAIL RISKS™

A monthly publication dedicated to the principle that deeper and broader knowledge drives superior investment results

Demystifying the Business Cycle

POSTED ON June 17th - POSTED IN Prices Allocate Resources, Cycles, Indicators

By Lewis Johnson - The rainy season is well underway here in sunny South Florida. Each day I can confidently predict that the weather will be hot and humid with a good chance of afternoon showers. I can even track by[…]

Eyes on the Prize

By Lewis Johnson - The story of struggle, of hard work in a time of great adversity which leads through travail to eventual triumph, is an eternal human story. In all cultures and in all languages we can find examples[…]

Contagion?

POSTED ON May 13th - POSTED IN Gold, Risk, Relative Value of Gold (and Credit)

By Lewis Johnson - Greece and its crumbling finances have been in the press constantly of late. The day of decision for Greece appears to be approaching quickly with the latest news that the country is raiding its IMF[…]

"Seeing the Ball" Clearly: The Value of a Cogent and Controversial Narrative

By Lewis Johnson - Baseball is back! With the return of April and the rainy season here in south Florida, baseball has returned. As thoughts turn to baseball, I am reminded of the epic 1991 season for the Atlanta[…]

Blockbuster Results

POSTED ON March 18th - POSTED IN Art of Valuation, Triangulation, Bottom Up Analysis

By Lewis Johnson - I love movies. My favorite movies combine great actors, a riveting story line, stunning imagery and a moving musical score to create a memorable experience. Ultimately there must be one individual[…]

Lewis Johnson
Chief Investment Officer

Author of Trends & Tail Risks

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