TRENDS & TAIL RISKS™

A monthly publication dedicated to the principle that deeper and broader knowledge drives superior investment results

Success Begins with Defense: Is This the Bottom of the Agriculture Cycle?

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion Successful investing begins with the purchase of assets with limited downside, exceptional upside, and multiple ways to win. The 50% crash in agricultural commodity prices helps[…]

The Best Offense is a Good Defense

POSTED ON July 27th - POSTED IN Portfolio Construction for a Challenging World

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Conclusion High industry concentration, strong capital discipline, and the likelihood of unanticipated growth from rising global conflict should continue to drive the long-term outperformance[…]

Panic Early: Beat the Rush!

By Lewis Johnson - Chief Takeaway Panic early: beat the rush! We are winning the investment battle because we have studied for years how to profit in volatile markets. Here’s how we are positioned and what we expect to[…]

Navigating Orwellian Markets

POSTED ON January 27th - POSTED IN Portfolio Construction for a Challenging World

By Lewis Johnson - Successful investing is driven by profitable disagreement with the market. Investors must have the conviction of sound reasoning behind their disagreements. Put another way, the biggest profits are[…]

Long Term Outperformance

POSTED ON August 19th - POSTED IN Portfolio Construction for a Challenging World

By Lewis Johnson - One of my greatest joys is to rediscover the wonder of the markets when I rediscover them anew through the eyes of the younger analysts that I train. The best way to learn a subject is unquestionably[…]

Lewis Johnson
Chief Investment Officer

Author of Trends & Tail Risks

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