TRENDS & TAIL RISKS™

A monthly publication dedicated to the principle that deeper and broader knowledge drives superior investment results

Never Give In

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION We wanted to take a different tack in today’s “Trends and Tail Risks.” We are taking a step back from our typical investment focus and thinking about the big picture of what[…]

Changes in the Rules of the Game

POSTED ON April 16th - POSTED IN Bonds, Gold, Portfolio Construction for a Challenging World

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION In complex times, it’s important to focus.  From where I sit, it seems that there are two big things going on in global markets right now.  The first is a cyclical downturn of[…]

The Real March Madness

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION The Fed can’t print a vaccine for coronavirus COVID-19, but it can attempt to ease market distress by reversing the spike in real interest rates that took place when the Fed allowed[…]

Risk Management in an Uncertain World: Asset Allocation 1 - Timing Fairy 0

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION Last week the equity market suffered the fastest drop ever from an all-time high.  We believe that the violence of this collapse makes a strong case for professional risk management[…]

Tech Valuations Party Like It's 1999

POSTED ON February 20th - POSTED IN Thinking About the Future, technology

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION It should come as no surprise to our long-term readers that, when equity valuations become extended in our view, our research team grows more cautious.  Our team finds itself at such[…]

Lewis Johnson
Chief Investment Officer

Author of Trends & Tail Risks

Email Me!

Newsletter Signup

Featured On

Most Popular