TRENDS & TAIL RISKS™

A monthly publication dedicated to the principle that deeper and broader knowledge drives superior investment results

Where We Are in the Cycle: Revisiting Asset Allocation & Indicators

POSTED ON October 15th - POSTED IN yield curve, yields

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION Today we take a brief look back at the message of our trusted indicators, in particular the insight of the yield curve. Our goal is to thoughtfully inquire into three questions.[…]

Good Intentions

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION Ask anyone who has invested serious time analyzing the commodity markets and you will quickly come to understand the power of supply, demand, and prices to work in harmony to create[…]

Creative Destruction

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION In today's “Trends and Tail Risks” we outline Joseph Schumpeter’s thesis of “creative destruction” and how it has inspired our research team to comb the markets for investments where[…]

Never Give In

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION We wanted to take a different tack in today’s “Trends and Tail Risks.” We are taking a step back from our typical investment focus and thinking about the big picture of what[…]

Changes in the Rules of the Game

POSTED ON April 16th - POSTED IN Bonds, Gold, Portfolio Construction for a Challenging World

By Lewis Johnson - CHIEF CONCLUSION In complex times, it’s important to focus.  From where I sit, it seems that there are two big things going on in global markets right now.  The first is a cyclical downturn of[…]

Lewis Johnson
Chief Investment Officer

Author of Trends & Tail Risks

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